Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-19 23.336820 26.991561 30.946952 35.535270 40.700280 46.323447 52.897158
2025-01-26 18.252349 23.584981 29.907201 37.900888 47.678651 59.185993 73.684567
2025-02-02 15.733548 22.157648 30.324419 41.337321 55.650791 73.460322 97.107962
2025-02-09 13.068387 19.848852 29.006558 42.051704 59.888455 83.120600 115.307196
2025-02-16 10.887170 17.712257 27.446076 42.001184 62.801398 90.978985 131.449785
2025-02-23 9.111613 15.808539 25.853777 41.554749 64.902783 97.656204 146.214466
2025-03-02 7.741968 14.270732 24.535268 41.245877 67.008969 104.301835 161.171166
2025-03-09 6.625825 12.943616 23.330308 40.898266 68.905281 110.630280 175.912083
2025-03-16 5.333174 11.090535 21.017665 38.497373 67.351742 111.633367 182.755955
2025-03-23 4.866689 10.637351 20.968785 39.740447 71.572680 121.546278 203.426342
2025-03-30 4.527733 10.366324 21.188999 41.426101 76.591251 132.937444 226.919766
2025-04-06 3.872192 9.362163 19.959269 40.442192 77.041986 137.063845 239.211493
2025-04-13 3.167435 8.165956 18.281069 38.593478 76.063001 139.145690 248.956547
2025-04-20 3.015889 8.150498 18.904177 41.100615 82.985736 154.824320 281.880107
2025-04-27 2.983160 8.399473 20.084691 44.778221 92.283482 175.050344 323.404065
2025-05-04 2.685499 7.966833 19.796185 45.542369 96.276004 186.399405 350.617632
2025-05-11 2.361092 7.401380 19.142249 45.487995 98.698413 195.110579 373.742820
2025-05-18 2.051366 6.806017 18.333363 45.009623 100.233270 202.281180 394.499935
2025-05-25 1.793544 6.293004 17.635835 44.678651 102.000373 209.927734 416.421584
2025-06-01 1.567722 5.818384 16.957908 44.306149 103.628932 217.371881 438.298875
2025-06-08 1.263133 5.029048 15.383399 41.732530 100.510880 215.703453 443.524639
2025-06-15 1.178728 4.912297 15.499745 43.065216 105.655222 230.016358 478.765129
2025-06-22 1.120591 4.869924 15.805402 44.871766 111.928298 246.813700 519.344939